Now it is a crisis for both India & Pakistan. Indians will have to justify the "accidental" nature of their nuclear program. While the Pakistani war planners would be rushing back to the drawing boards to understand this new aggressive risky Indian invasion strategy.
https://twitter.com/ZaidZamanHamid/status/1502341006695571468?t=RUbBgGo6S5tImd9KsMiowA&s=19
1.
I am going to do another important thread after India's admission of an "accidental" launch.
Those idiots have dug themselves into a hole, and continue to dig deeper.
Their plan A was destroyed by me & no wonder you can hear their screams..😁
2.
Plan A of Indians was to go silent after the missile launch & pretend that it never happened. Their alibi that it was an "accidental launch" is an after thought & is going to humiliate them further.
Now their entire nuclear missile program has come under global scrutiny.
3.
Nuclear capable cruise missiles are not trigger fired like 9mm pistols. Even those handguns have safeties.
There is a full launch sequence in these missiles.
They have to erected, launch codes fed, flight path data entered, target marked, multiple launch keys inserted...
4.
Also, Indians had gone an extra mile to remove all identification markings, flag, serial numbers & any identifiable signs which could trace this missile back to India...a small conventional warhead was added to make sure that missile is destroyed on impact.
Almost worked 🙂
5.
While the entire Pakistani media, Govt & even armed forces were speculating on the nature of the "object" landing near Pakistan's strategic airbase, we at BrassTacks brought out irrefutable evidence that it was an Indian #Brahmos.
Now both Pak & Indian Govts were in a fix...
6.
I will be brutally harsh here.
Both Pakistan & Indian governments wanted to brush this issue under the carpet for their own reasons.
Pakistani leadership wanted to avoid the embarrassment & the backlash if the news of an Indian nuclear capable missile attack came out.
7.
Pakistanis are brutally harsh on the Govt & the armed forces when it comes to showing weakness against India.
If it was proved that India had deliberately provoked this attack, then both IK & GHQ would be under tremendous pressure to retaliate, like they did in Feb 2019.
8.
Pakistan is in a political turmoil right now. PM IK is fighting to save his seat, which he might lose in next 2 weeks. Army is already bogged in internal security & political chaos. They both never wanted a confrontation with India at this stage, so decided to downplay it.
9.
So, in the press conference ISPR tried to downplay the deliberate provocation as a possible "accident"...
Called it a failure of Indian "aviation", "threat to civilians", "risk to commercial airlines"..... completely avoiding the fact that this could provoke a nuclear war..
10.
As I said, ISPR completely downplayed the grave provocation so as to avoid generating a hard response.
Indians suddenly got the idea of an "accident" after this press conference where ISPR itself suggested various soft possibilities for the missile.
Indians fell for it.
11.
Pak Govt & armed forces find themselves in a bigger mess since the day this crisis began.
The fact that an Indian nuclear capable cruise missile could make a landfall near a strategic airbase deep inside Pak without interception has shaken the entire country's confidence.
12.
Even more serious, this sudden missile attack from India has also brought into question the entire national military response strategy of Pakistan. Pakistan's defense is built on a belief that Indians will always give us a dispersal & reaction time before launching any war.
13.
Even the Indian "Cold Start" doctrine gives Pakistan some 6 to 24 hours to roll out from their bases & deploy to meet any Indian advance.
This sudden missile "nuclear" strike changed all that equation overnight.
This is a new paradigm of warfare between Pak & India....
14.
Fact is that this was NO accident by India but a deliberate war exercise to validate their new war doctrine against Pak, which is way ahead of their rather obsolete "Cold start"
A sudden massive no warning attack on critical military & national infrastructure to start a war.
15.
Indians are observing the Russian strategy in Ukraine very deeply....like Russians before the invasion, Indians are also fully deployed around Pakistan & will be opening up without warning through their missiles to be followed by Air strikes & then the ground forces.....
16.
Now it is a crisis for both India & Pakistan.
Indians will have to justify the "accidental" nature of their nuclear program.
While the Pakistani war planners would be rushing back to the drawing boards to understand this new aggressive risky Indian invasion strategy.
17.
So, this is where we stand now.
Indians have found holes in Pakistani defenses & validated their missiles.
Pakistan has another "object" signatures into their radars for any future identification of threats.
Pakistanis have been more vulnerable here than Indians...
18.
I have been receiving messages from friends that my analysis is rather harsh & that Indians are not mad enough to provoke a nuclear war, which is total destruction & that a nuclear war between these two countries would kill 500 million people & even Modi wont risk it..
19.
I have two points to make before I conclude.
Indians want to invade below the nuclear threshold, like the Russians have done against NATO. They hope to copy that.
Second, RSS Zionists are insane rabid animals. Do NOT expect reason or logic from them. You will be sorry!!
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